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Investors Still Have Questions About the Cease-Fire

-generated answer from a Google product called AI Overviews. The Times asked an A.I. start-up, Oumi, to assess the accuracy of AI Overviews. Oumi first tested the system in October and found that...

Investors Still Have Questions About the Cease-Fire

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Investors Still Have Questions About the Cease-Fire

Analysts and traders are anxiously watching the Strait of Hormuz and whether peace talks can resolve big differences between the United States and Iran.

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By

Andrew Ross Sorkin

Bernhard Warner

Sarah Kessler

Michael J. de la Merced

Niko Gallogly

and

Brian O’Keefe

April 8, 2026,

7:46 a.m. ET

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Stock markets worldwide jumped today after the U.S. and Iran reached a cease-fire.

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Peter Parks/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

In today's newsletter:

“TACO Tuesday”

The A.I. model Anthropic won’t release widely

Has Satoshi Nakamoto finally been found?

Google’s A.I. has your answer. Is it accurate?

Andrew here.

Relief. That is the word of the day, for now. Stock markets are soaring and oil prices are falling after the U.S. and Iran agreed to a two-week cease-fire. But given the demands of both sides, it is hard to see how lasting peace will be achieved. Ultimately, as Ray Dalio has said, who wins this war will depend on who controls the Strait of Hormuz — and right now, that’s Iran. We go deep on how U.S.-Iranian negotiations may play out.

We also highlight a must-read: an investigation by John Carreyrou into the man who might be Satoshi Nakomoto, the pseudonymous creator of Bitcoin. It’s a lengthy piece — but well worth your time.

Also, here’s a tip worth knowing. If you’ve noticed that Google News isn’t surfacing the results it once did, there’s a simple fix: You can take control of what you see by

adding your favorite news sites here

.

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“TACO Tuesday”

A global relief rally

is in full swing

as investors cheer a two-week pause to fighting in the Middle East.

Iran’s foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, said his government would “

cease their defensive operation

” and permit the “safe passage” of ships through the Strait of Hormuz for two weeks. That could effectively end a blockade of the conduit for 20 percent of global oil and gas supplies, which has created an energy shock worldwide.

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